E-Learning

Will the Stock Market Crash as Tariffs Hit the Economy in 2025? History Offers an Important Clue.

The S&P 500 crashed when President Trump unveiled his "Liberation Day" tariffs in early April, but the benchmark index has since staged an astounding recovery. History says President Trump's tariffs could cause a recession, and the S&P 500 has declined by an average of 31% during past recessions. The S&P 500's best days and worst days often occur in clusters, so investors that sit on the sidelines during drawdowns risk missing the rebound.

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Japan's ex-top FX diplomat expects yen to rise near 140 by year-end

TOKYO (Reuters) -A narrowing U.S.-Japan interest rate gap, rather than any effort by President Donald Trump to weaken the dollar, will likely lift the yen to around 135-140 against the U.S. unit by year-end, Japan's former top currency diplomat said on Friday. Markets are rife with speculation that Trump - who in the past accused Japan and China of currency manipulation - will pressure Tokyo to help weaken the dollar against the yen to give U.S. exports a trade advantage. Mitsuhiro Furusawa, a former currency diplomat who retains close ties with Japanese and overseas incumbent policymakers, said it was unclear whether the Trump administration was explicitly taking a weak-dollar policy.

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Asian equities see largest monthly foreign inflow in 15 months

According to data from LSEG, foreign investors bought approximately $10.65 billion worth of equities across India, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Philippines, registering their largest monthly net purchase since February 2024. U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of reciprocal tariffs in April stoked concerns over the impact on Asian exports, exporter margins, and regional supply chains, but a subsequent 90-day pause for most countries later in the month helped ease investor fears and revive interest in regional assets.

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China's exports likely slowed in May amid trade uncertainties: Reuters poll

Outbound shipments are projected to have risen 5.0% year-on-year in value terms last month, according to the median forecasts of 20 economists polled by Reuters. Imports are forecast to drop 0.9% in May from the previous year in value terms, widening from a 0.2% dip in April. The global trade war and the swings in China-U.S. trade ties have in the past two months sent Chinese exporters, along with their business partners across the Pacific, on a roller coaster ride.

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Oil Holds Gains After Trump-Xi Call Signals Easing Trade Tension

(Bloomberg) -- Oil was steady after advancing Thursday on optimism around easing trade tensions between the US and China following a call between the leaders of the two countries.Most Read from BloombergNext Stop: Rancho Cucamonga!ICE Moves to DNA-Test Families Targeted for Deportation with New ContractWhere Public Transit Systems Are Bouncing Back Around the WorldUS Housing Agency Vulnerable to Fraud After DOGE Cuts, Documents WarnThe Global Struggle to Build Safer CarsBrent traded around $65 a

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Morning Bid: Trump-Musk feud shakes markets pre-payrolls

The bromance-turned-to-brawl between U.S. President Donald Trump and billionaire Elon Musk sparked a 14% drop in Tesla shares overnight, wiping out $150 billion in market value. Then there's the tens of billions of dollars in SpaceX government contracts that Trump has threatened to cut. Any unexpected weakness in the U.S. labour market could be enough to get the Federal Reserve's policy-makers thinking again about rate cuts, after sitting on their hands since December to assess the inflationary impact of Trump's tariffs.

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US Treasury Calls on BOJ to Hike Rates to Correct Yen Weakness

(Bloomberg) -- The US Treasury called on the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates to strengthen the yen, stepping much deeper into policy recommendations for Tokyo than before in its semiannual currency report.Most Read from BloombergNext Stop: Rancho Cucamonga!ICE Moves to DNA-Test Families Targeted for Deportation with New ContractWhere Public Transit Systems Are Bouncing Back Around the WorldUS Housing Agency Vulnerable to Fraud After DOGE Cuts, Documents WarnThe Global Struggle to Build Saf

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