As traders approach another pivotal day for financial markets, a series of crucial decisions and economic data releases that could sway market dynamics are expected on Thursday, March 27, 2025. The day’s lineup includes key reports on GDP, initial jobless claims, and pending home sales, all of which have the potential to influence investor sentiment and market direction.
Major Economic Events to Watch
• 8:30 AM ET - GDP (Q4): Forecast 2.3%, Previous 3.1%. Broad measure of economic activity and primary indicator of economic health.
• 8:30 AM ET - Initial Jobless Claims: Forecast 225K, Previous 223K. Measures new unemployment insurance claims, an early indicator of labor market conditions.
• 10:00 AM ET - Pending Home Sales (MoM): Forecast 0.9%, Previous -4.6%. Indicates the change in homes under contract to be sold, excluding new construction.
Other Important Economic Events to Watch
• 8:30 AM ET - Core PCE Prices (Q4): Forecast 2.70%, Previous 2.20%. Key inflation measure excluding food and energy.
• 8:30 AM ET - Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Feb): Previous 0.5%. Measures change in retail inventory levels excluding automobiles.
• 8:30 AM ET - Goods Trade Balance (Feb): Forecast -$134.60B, Previous -$155.57B. Difference between imported and exported goods value.
• 8:30 AM ET - GDP Price Index (Q4): Forecast 2.4%, Previous 1.9%. Measures price changes in goods and services included in GDP.
• 8:30 AM ET - Continuing Jobless Claims: Forecast 1,890K, Previous 1,892K. Number of unemployed individuals qualifying for unemployment benefits.
• 1:00 PM ET - 7-Year Note Auction: Previous 4.194%. Treasury note auction, indicator of government debt situation.
• 4:30 PM ET - Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks : Previous $3.425T. Amount of money depository institutions maintain at regional Federal Reserve Banks.
• 4:30 PM ET - Fed’s Balance Sheet: Previous $6,756B. Statement of Federal Reserve System assets and liabilities.
Other Economic Events to Watch
• 8:30 AM ET - Corporate Profits (Q4): Previous -0.4%. Measures net current-production income of corporations.
• 8:30 AM ET - GDP Sales (Q4): Forecast 3.2%, Previous 3.3%. Component of GDP measurement.
• 8:30 AM ET - Real Consumer Spending (Q4): Forecast 4.2%, Previous 3.7%. Inflation-adjusted measure of consumer expenditure.
• 8:30 AM ET - PCE Prices (Q4): Forecast 2.4%, Previous 1.5%. Measures price changes in consumer goods and services.
• 8:30 AM ET - Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg.: Previous 227.00K. Smoothed measure of weekly jobless claims.
• 8:30 AM ET - Wholesale Inventories (Feb): Forecast 0.7%, Previous 0.8%. Change in total value of goods held by wholesalers.
• 10:00 AM ET - Pending Home Sales Index: Previous 70.6. Index of homes under contract to be sold.
• 10:30 AM ET - Natural Gas Storage: Forecast 37B, Previous 9B. Change in natural gas held in underground storage.
• 11:00 AM ET - KC Fed Manufacturing Index: Previous -13. Indicator of manufacturing activity in the Kansas City Federal Reserve district.
• 11:00 AM ET - KC Fed Composite Index: Previous -5. Broader measure of economic activity in the Kansas City Federal Reserve district.
• 11:30 AM ET - 4-Week Bill Auction: Previous 4.215%. Short-term Treasury bill auction.
• 11:30 AM ET - 8-Week Bill Auction: Previous 4.215%. Short-term Treasury bill auction.
• 4:30 PM ET - FOMC Member Barkin Speaks. Public engagement of Richmond Fed President, potential for monetary policy insights.
For further information and the latest updates, please refer to our Economic Calendar, here .
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